Kim Jong Un, the rational irrational

The North Korean head of state has a strategy that follows with persistence. Conflicting signals from Washington he intervenes as a threat. This makes conflict resolution even harder, Peter Sturm thinks.

It's written about Kim Jong, it's probably written something really kind of for him. But in the current situation, which could turn into a crisis, a credit could be attributed to the seemingly coreano-veritary head of state: Kim Jong is acting not without reason. Looks like he's got a strategy. And he follows this with great persistence, like his father Kim Jong-il and his grandfather Kim Il-Sung. But unlike the previous two, Kim Jong apparently feels acute pressure. This certainly has to do with changing government in Washington.

The Trump government has stated that Obama's “strategy of patience” in relation to North Korea is over. Since January, conflicting signals come from Washington, this Kim Jong probably doesn't interpret as it really is, so as a toll on government. He thinks that everything publicly said is verified to the smallest detail. In view of this prospect, the rest of the party seems to be threatening because such a situation (possibly) disturbs the potential opponent.

So Kim Jong notes a “weakness area” for himself. The most important reason for this is that it can only be measured in propagandistic terms to the same level as the US. In a military way, that doesn't stand. And no two or a series of atomic missile trials that he has undertaken do not change that. Kim wants to shut down technically as soon as possible the atomic weapons program, because that's how he imagines himself safe from an attack.

Another question is whether a real conflict with good advice can be solved. China, that the U.S. should start a dialogue with the jinn? If there's a constant in Kim Jong-un's thirty years of life, then that's, you don't trust anyone from the outside world, not even a piece of paper. So while the agreement with North Korea is theoretically possible, a total nuclear disarmament of the Korean peninsula is not possible. But it's almost impossible to believe that Kim Jong would follow the rules of such a deal. So the rationality of the corporate-veral leader does not reach this level.