Causes and Factors why LVV will drop to 30%-40%

It says: Sheholl Muharremi

One of the topics of the upcoming election is the question: "How much longer Kurti and LVV will win the next election." Their projects, with good maintenance, are not reasonable. Saying no political party in the world could maintain that spectacular victory. That is because power concludes, nearly half of the votes were punitive votes for other parties, and that the global and local crises will dramatically impact. Next I'm elaborizing why LVV support will shrink as well as what causes the decline:

1. The punishment vote under which I benefit LVV the last elections is no longer there. We can speculate that perhaps about 50% of the votes that the LVV has won are the ballots for other parties that were so long in power and all the relatives they had made. This factor will take away at least 5-10% of the value.

2. Changes to opposition parties. The context and structure of the main opposition parties is so different from the past context. Now we have teams and new spirit on LDK and PDK. Kurti and LVV will no longer compete with Thaci and Isa Mustara, but with Krasniqi and Abdixhik. Both these party leaders are well educated and experienced. Their strategy will be totally different from what we've learned from these two parties over the past 20 years. We also have many new faces in these parties that are not complete and that give hope for the future, especially an outstanding number of capable and uncorrupted women.

3. Consumption and suspension by power. If you want to weaken a political party in the developing country with little resources, put it in power. LVV has grown mainly because it has been out of power. It is easier to make opposition and protest than to solve the city's problems. The fact that LVV has been alone in power has honoured it even more than usual. We witnessed how LVV abused RTK, but also with most of the boards where party members should be professional and independent.

4. Financial crisis. Kosovo families have been exposed to one of the worst financial crisis in the past 40 years. Inflation has so deeply affected family pockets that the majority budget has not reached the 20th day of the month. When citizens and families are affected in pockets, it is the most influential influence possible. This crisis is usually billed to governments in power. Over the last 3-4 years, as well, as a result of the financial crisis, we had the evacuation of about 200,000 people abroad, due to socioeconomic conditions. There's no way that I don't get lucky at elections for the government in power.

5. The motive of Albin Kurti and LVV for victory is not there. Members and leading LVV protagonists are projecting a victory of 60% and 80%. This will take revenge and affect the final outcome because it harms the activist to work for election. If victory is so certain, why engage” would they say. But the prime minister and prime ministers and protagonists are also tired of excessive power. They have faced tremendous pressure from diplomacy, from private local media, as well as a critical security situation in Basnjska. This will make its effect on the outcome and the desire to work for victory.

It is generally absurd in such a different context and situation and factors to expect the same spectacular support for a political party. Waiting for victory over 40% for LVV with this container is irrational. These factors would affect each country in the world, and Kosovo is not an exception.

But there's nothing wrong with it, and the situation is very normal. The LVV is being reformed by an unusual victory, and this could be called sustainable correction, to benefit the party and Kosovo. This is also paving the way for LVV to come out first again but not to govern and take responsibility for itself. This is also very positive. Enlarging the coalition with another major party is necessary and at the right time. Especially this will enable LVV to focus on the rule of law and defence sectors until I allow Kosovo to change economic disk from left to right.