Erdogan barks too much but doesn't bite

Erdogan has recently addressed many insults against Israel, calling it the terrorist “8x1> linked to “genocide” in Gaza, in other words, is a kind of rhetoric that is mostly expected by Iran, rather than by a NATO member with claims to become a global power.

But Erdogan's sound mind should not be taken for granted. If he has not turned Turkey into a Islamic state, the fact is that he is a good Muslim. Part of the believer is to deny any assault on the dignity and lives of Muslim companions. The thought that his Palestinian fellow worshippers, who are being cut off day by day by the Israeli army of Jews, for Turkey is a non-stopping issue, and he is forced to wake up emotions.

It is also the time of elections in Turkey, and no one in Israel should underestimate Erdogan's emotional statements by ordinary Turks. Dismissing the Israeli ambassador to Ankara in the most humiliating way, there is no doubt that this behaviour brought a smile to the Turkish electorate, just as sv. Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon, who had humiliated the Turkish ambassador eight years ago, did the same for Israeli voters.

The June 24th elections are strategic for Erdogan because his victory would ensure Turkey's transformation from a parliamentary model into a presidential model, in which he would have unlimited power and power. Anti-Israel rhetoric is a way to wake up anxious voters where Turkey's official currency every day is depreciating compared to other currency, as well as unemployment and inflation are other frustrations the Turkish people are facing, reports “Haretz”, the Periscopi broadcast.

Strange is the fact that Erdogan's face fades when he has work to do.

Even in the darkest days of bilateral relations, six years after the attack by Mavi Marmora trade between the two countries has increased markedly.

One of the reasons is that the civil war in Syria unable Turkish exporters to send their goods to the Jordan. So they turned to Israel. Turkish brands send containers loaded with goods to Haifa, which then surrenders by truck led by Turkish drivers over the Sheikh Husseyin Bridge. The other reason is that Turkey serves as a transit point for oil exports to Central Asia towards Israel.

For Turkey, Israel is not the largest trade exporter (calculating more than 2 per cent of Turkish exports), but it is an important thing, where Turkey is developing a massive trade deficit dealt with a considerable trade surplus.

Kiss service for boycott

Last week Erdogan hosted an extraordinary “summit” in the Islamic Co-operative Organisation, where he also called for boycott of Israeli products. On Tuesday, Erdogan said the resolution would meet obligations.

But none of this means anything. In view of the lack of exports from settlements, Erdogan's pledge from empty positions.

Moreover, Erdogan made it clear that it was not a initiative to act in a symbolic way. “Of course, we will also assess the” situation, he said, according to the report published in “Hurriyet” on Tuesday. “As Turkey, we will evaluate our ties, especially in the economic and commercial context with them (Israel). We have the next election. We'll take steps after the elections”.

When the pro-Kurdish democratic party in parliament suggested suspending trade ties with Israel a few weeks ago, Erdogan's allies made sure to undermine this initiative.

Turkish voters want their leaders to rebel against Israel, but they are little sure that the cost is billed to them. Perhaps the most important thing is that Turkish commercial businesses do not want commercial ties with the Israelites who have no decay.

However, a big question is whether Erdogan could be counted as a reliable partner for any future gas deal to export Israeli gas via the pipeline to Turkey.

In theory, victory-win.

In the face of this, a Turkish-Israel deal should be a win-win for all of Israel has a large export market for its energy could reduce Turkey's economy to a degree, outside the Russian dream to become an international power hub.

Unfortunately, each international gas pipeline project involves a major risk. Not like oil, on which you can put it on a ship wherever you want, gas is more expensive and more complicated for the buyer and seller, where billions should be spent on building the pipeline infrastructure, a project that takes years. Then they must maintain close labour ties for at least 20 years.

Also, an agreement would include not only Israel, but Cyprus and perhaps Egypt two other countries with gas sources that should logically be part of some agreement, but those with Erdogan are in a rhetorical war. Negotiations on an agreement will be included in issues like the Turkish Cypriot entity that disturb the Turkish leader as much as the Palestinians.

Furthermore, Erdogan's economic management is irregular for Israel, but we must be sure that the Turkish economy is stable and has a reliable market.

Erdogan is a quick leader who takes risks when it comes to big money and gas deals, but has no reason to allow ordinary trade to continue to grow. As for gas, Israel can pursue other options for exporting it. Meanwhile, Israel must consider Erdogan's bad rhetoric.

Sadly, this will be difficult because the government of Israel is populated by Erdogan's strip nationalists, who enjoy the trade of insults and engage in symbolic acts of vengeance. Israeli Agriculture Minister Uri Ariel's right-hand arm could not resist calls last week for freezing Turkish agricultural imports towards Israel, prompting untrue remarks from his Turkish counterpart.

Ariel's move was a space whose coverage was very limited in Israel's right - hand media. Let us hope that the rest of Israel will do a better job of keeping his action fresh.

Opinion by David Rosenberg