Conversations detected: American intelligence buges Russian generals, here's a secret plan for the invasion of Ukraine.

Then the offensive to respond, which will begin between Wednesday and Thursday, with two possible directives: a devastating but timed operation, or Kyiv's long-term invasion. These are the Kremlin's plans to invade Ukraine, “explosive weapons” that Western intelligence has seized. US President Joe Biden has told Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin in yesterday's call, hoping to persuade him to stop, otherwise the Allies are united in their determination to make Russia highlight the highest price he has paid so far. According to authoritarian sources of allied secret services, Russian military escalation in recent days has been very intense. Ahead of Ukraine's borders, across the entire line surrounding the country from Belarus to Crime, 95 Battle Battalion Groups are currently being deployed. 30 battalions are permanently located in these regions, and for this there has been an increase of over two-thirds. Another 17 are expected to arrive by tomorrow, bringing the total to 120 battalions, which Putin considers the critical threshold needed to launch the attack. Between 100 and 110 thousand men, ready to invade.

All this has already been tested by satellite photos, but the weapon that has taken over Western services is surveillance of conversations among Russian generals, where the details of the plan are noticed. American media do not rule out the possibility that it is a deliberate deinformation from the Kremlin to confuse opponents, but no one doubts that communications have occurred and have been recorded. The order for the attack has not yet been issued, but it may come at these hours because military leaders are expected.

The first step is thought to be a “fals” operation, expected on Tuesday. Perhaps an attack on the firodus in Donbas, insulted and implemented by Moscow's secret services to build the pretext and then the punishment. Not by chance, there has been a concentration of armoured vehicles in the separatist region that have not been seen since the invasion of Ukraine in 2014.

With the excuse set up, the attack will begin on Wednesday or Thursday, probably from the north taking advantage of the exercises under way in Belarus, with two prevailing scenarios. The first, the one considered most likely, is “the earth burned”. A demonstration of the overwhelming military force carried out in a hybrid format that would cause devastating damage to Kiev's gates but would then be followed by the immediate withdrawal of troops within Russian borders. This would enable Putin to show that no one could joke with Moscow, eliminating even accusations of having conquered the country.

Thus it would divide Westerners over the extent of their response to a limited operation, avoiding the dangers of prolonged invasion and guerrilla war. The second scenario, on the other hand, would be the march towards Kiev to install a doll government. There is also a third hypothesis, the accident in Lithuania's skies, a violation of airspace, respectively. NATO would be forced to respond. Intelligence considers it to be the most distant scenario because it would have catastrophic consequences, which could indeed cause a world war.

Officially, Kiev invites to avoid alarms, but in reality fears the invasion and is considering concessions for implementing the Minsk Accords to avoid it. However, Putin is not sure that it is enough because he has asked that the entire security architecture in Europe be revised. The second session of the Normandy-format meetings, which took place in Berlin on 10 February, yielded no results, and Moscow demanded that the discussion resume at the Trepal Contact Group, which includes Russia, Ukraine and the OSCE. Putin could withdraw only if he received something very significant from the negotiations, otherwise he would have to vent the military device by acting as an attack and avoiding charges of changing borders by violence. Meanwhile, on February 9th the Atlantic Council approved preventive responses, setting up the installation in Hungary of the 4 battalions of the Fast Response Force.

Yesterday's phone call was requested by Beden just to confront Putin with information on his plans. There was a final character to warn him that the West does not bluff and convince him to stop, offering him a diplomatic breakthrough. Otherwise, sanctions designed to bring Russia to its knees.