Bloomberg shows scenarios Putin can use nuclear weapons

There are scenarios in which he can come up with a catastrophic estimate that launching one or more nuclear bombs can keep Putin in power. This is because now our world, strategically, is more like Europe in the first unstable years of the Cold War than during its later relatively stable period.

Reciprocutt Determination MED

After World War II, the U.S.A. knew that its forces in Western Europe were inferior to those of the Soviet Union and would probably not resist its attack, so the Americans placed weaker nuclear heads on the territory of European allies. They wanted to send a message to the Russians in case of a Soviet attack, NATO could release some of them on the battlefield and rescue its members from defeat.

But as the nuclear arms race progressed, the Soviet Union was caught with the United States in strategic weapons and began using nuclear bombs that could be launched in long-range missiles, destroying entire cities.

As apocalypse may sound, this balance of powers has kept us from nuclear war until now. We can see the West and East as two men in one room, immersed in gasoline up to the waist. Everyone has a certain number of matches, but no one wants to use them because that means both will be on fire. This position also received the right name "MAD. "

Putin and his “

However, after two decades of Putin's rule in Russia, there has been a strategic change in the situation. In a way, we returned to the period immediately after World War II, with roles turned upside down.

Now it is Russia that suspects it is inferior to NATO in the conventional war, so Putin compensates for this failure with nuclear weapons threats in the event Ukraine's invasion fails to comply with his plan. This approach is called scaling to de-progress.

Russia, which is roughly equal to the United States in strategic nuclear weapons, thus gained a major advantage in tactics, relatively short. Russia has about 2,000 tactical nuclear weapons, and the US has only about 200, half of which are stationed in Europe.

Putin has already hinted several times that he could snatch his military arsenal if NATO passes “red line”. And since he confuses his destiny with the fate of his country, he seeks to interpret any possible personal humiliation or change regime in Moscow as a passage to the “red zone”.

Let's say that Ukrainians, who are relatively fighting Russian invaders surprisingly disabled, approach victory or that a Russian hypersonic rocket roams toward Poland, a NATO member or that the West sends Ukraine weapons that can change the course of war any of these turns can force Putin to a wall and lead to a escalation, Bloomberg writes.

The first bomb could end in the forest

His first reaction will surely be to display teeth. Maybe he'll drop the first bomb in an uninhabited forest area or at sea just to prove he's serious. Another nuclear bomb could destroy an enemy weapons depot, a military base, but not the entire city. Nuclear tactical weapons allow this type of nuclear “ ” precise.

Putin would thus show his determination, his readiness for “gone to the end of”, hoping that the West will not retaliate with the same measure. The US and Europe, like NATO, should start thinking now about a possible response to the first dropped bomb. Should the West then release a low-powered nuclear bomb to prove that it is ready to enter the ring? So, what would be Putin's next step?

Once the launch of nuclear heads begins, the most lethal weapon in human history - despite their strength - increases the risk of misunderstandings and wrong movements. A minor blow on one side may still seem catastrophic to the other. And the missiles fly as fast as any country has only a few minutes to respond. It's so easy to be tempted to print “red key”.