What lies ahead? Dangers and Predictions

What lies ahead? Dangers and Predictions

What does the future hold? Doing better than last year won't be difficult. But the challenges ahead are complicated, and we risk not knowing how to deal with them. The present is complicated by Pandemia Covid-19, which for the first time in a century has been [...]

But the challenges ahead are complicated, and we risk not knowing how to deal with them. The present is complicated by Pandemia Covid-19, which for the first time in a century has been global.

We have faced it better than the former pandemics, but again we were caught unprepared. And yet, we had the means and knowledge to predict it. We have two very complicated decades ahead, which we have to be able to cope with by reducing economic and social costs and increasing benefits.

Many things will depend on how we will be able to use technologies, so whether we will improve our presence on the planet or make it worse. Some reports, including the latest ones by the US government (The National Intelligence Council), identify some phenomena with very serious risks:

Common Global Challenges The rise in the temperature of our planet, and the impact of humanity on the environment, pandemics, financial crises, and divisive technologies will be increasingly frequented. They will have a great impact on all regions of the world. Nobody's immune anymore.

Geopolitical clashes Global challenges will radicalise ongoing geopolitical confrontation. Despite what was thought of during the initial euphoria that accompanied globalisation, there is the danger of the greater fragility and fragility of social and political relations.

China and the US compete for global supremacy, Europe is in a phase of reflection or confusion (anyhow), while citizens of other regions are showing dissatisfaction with their apolitical-economic systems. Meanwhile, companies offering global products and services are increasingly influencing our behavior, and they have even begun acting as real autism.

The demographic line is clear. Over the next 20 years, life expectancy will grow dramatically in the richest countries, where fewer and fewer children will be born anyway. On the other hand, the population will continue to grow exponentially in South Asia and Africa, at least until 2050.

Will the labour market and the welfare of Western regions be able to resist this radical change, with an increasing workforce in contraction? Will they manage territories, such as cities, with an increasingly old population?

In poorer economically, young people will either migrate or necessarily have to use environmental resources, which will have consequences over biodiversity and the speed of climate change. In the past, mankind has shown that it can fit to survive by processing, distributing and using knowledge to develop new technologies.

The individual actions of inventors, invasors, and entrepreneurs had a narrow basis, and for this reason, even if at first he caused disturbances, they arrived in a short time to be accepted and then to arouse great expectations within a social context of deep faith.

But at this historic stage and for a predictable future, mankind has forgotten the difficulty and uncertainty of doing research, and has taken over, driven by the great expectations of science and security, an unrealistic expectation under which all that has been achieved has been easy, writes form.net.

The discovery that it is not, in fact, has brought lack of faith. Much of us do not foresee improving our socioeconomic conditions. We should be seriously concerned that the social and economic development that has accompanied mankind from the industrial revolution to globalisation by reducing poverty and improving living conditions can slow down or take steps back.

In 2020, 150 million citizens have become impoverished, and today they feel a sharp decline in their standard of living, sometimes even under what is patient. Expectations are often a source of pessimism. The rise in first-intensity prices and a general increase in inflation as a positive sign of a return to growth risk leading to the abyss of an frustrated social conflict, lack of confidence in its environment, or even in coexistence of other species.

These factors, and many other variables that are not considered, will help us to imagine different scenarios, more or less optimistic or pessimistic. However, the outcome of these challenges depends on us - the way we will be able to use knowledge taken so far.

Quantum technology, artificial intelligence and automation can be used to solve these necessary social conflicts through policies promoting each individual's co-existence and prosperity: equal initial opportunities, fair wages, and a better balance between human needs and the environment.

For this it is necessary to develop possible scenarios by collecting data and facts, to avoid an ideological and religious approach that follows final solutions, and to have the patience to face each other to find solutions that satisfy the wider diversity.

Patience is precisely the human ability to see that nothing is final, and that solutions are not infalliable and are built up step by step. Until we use this criterion, which is the basis of the experimental method, we will have difficulty coping with the challenges ahead of us, predict their appearance and enjoy the results.

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