4 minutes agoIsolation may have saved the lives of three million people in Europe
Periskopi(6 years ago)
(6 years ago)Large-scale isolation measures, including the closure of shops and schools, have reduced the transmission rate of new coronary to Europe to bring its spread under control and may have prevented more than three million deaths, scientists said today. In a study of the impact of isolation measures [...]
In a study on the impact of isolation measures in 11 countries, scientists at the Royal College in London say the draconian measures, introduced mainly in March, had a significant effect and helped lower the level of disease reproduction under one until the beginning of May.
The breeding rate shows how many people are infected on average. A higher rate than 1 could lead to an exponential spread of infection.
Royal College scientists estimate that by the beginning of May, between 12 million and 15 million people were infected in 11 countries: Austria, Belgium, Britain, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland.
Comparing the death toll to the death toll predicted by their model, they found some 3.1 million deaths to be prevented.
Research results were conducted in the magazine Nature.
A second study by American scientists, published also in the magazine Nature, estimated that isolation measures in China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France, and the United States prevented or delayed some 530 million cases of infection.
