a few seconds agoLull Raka warns growth of the coronavirus infected curve
Periskopi(6 years ago)
(6 years ago)Microbiologist Lull Raka warns that the curve of the number of infected persons with Covid-19 in our country is expected to grow over the coming weeks. According to rough projections based on the trend of increasing cases, in the best possible version, by April 22nd, some 570 cases can be recorded, meanwhile in the most [...]
According to close projections based on the trend of increasing cases, in the best possible version, by April 22nd, around 570 cases can be recorded, meanwhile, in the worst version of the 5,000 cases affected by Covid-19.
He called for increased care over the next few days.
Kosovo is now in the phase of the distribution of the virus in the community, which is after the initial phase that has been the identification and confirmation of the first cases that have come from abroad, then there has been the first round of alignment in the community, family and close contact, while we already have to do with the next stretch, in the third circle as we say, the spread in the community. So the numbers grow exponentially. We've circulated and spread the virus. Those two weeks have been critical to be careful not to humiliate the virus, to the spread of the virus... their behavior at a time at which they can most affect curves, now see the result, the coming days and weeks”, he stressed.
“The curve is going to grow up and now the curve has to draw the virus, we can do less. Right now, Kosovo had a flat curve, had no vertical curve, which is very good news. But this can't necessarily get people out of control because from the latest data it's the Contatu, even in the U.S., that there's an extremely large percentage of people who have the infection, are sick, but they don't have any signs or symptoms... these are the rising gas station of”, Raka told RTV21.
The Ministry of Health and the Institute, unfortunately, have no record of how many people in Kosovo are chronically ill... if you don't have this parameter then this most endangered category is not going to give the real mirror. So far all the pandemics that have happened in the world in the last 30 years have not shot that curve for the darkest possible scenario. In no disease has ever been released, nor in Ebola, nor in bird flu, nor has swine emerged... reality is somewhere between...”, he said.
A projection that has made Kosovo expert Merkur Beqiri and according to him in the best possible version by April 22nd will be 570 cases ... In the worst possible version is over 5 000”, Raka stressed.
