Long peace or war? Study discusses when World War III will begin

It's been over 70 years since the great war. Despite the many conflicts on the globe, there has been no major global conflict for decades.

Analysts are divided to whether this means that we have exceeded such levels of conflict, or whether the right time of our desire means a disaster, is coming.

Colorado University computer scientist Aaron Clausett undertook a study to secure findings. He used data from the War Correlate Project to design models, trends and the likelihood of an explosion of another major war, reports “RT” Transmission Periscope.

The War Corresponding Project is a basis of war, which includes the records of deadly battles since the 1823 war.

Clausette examined the data from 95 interstate conflicts from then on until 2003. The data does not include civil wars or terrorist attacks, as well as the wars of Iraq, Syria and Yemen are not inflated in this research package.

According to Clauset “The long peace model would have to stay for at least 100 to 150 years before it could be called a real trend. ”

These models show how the long peace and period of the great violence that preceded it are not unusual statistical models in realistic time series, but weather-table conflicts, the study found.

These results mean that the current peace can be much more fragile than the proponents” said.

Clausette also used his computer model to predict when mankind's death can occur. He estimated it could at any time be between 383 and 11 489 years from now./Periscopi/