Three possible scenarios on how war could end in Ukraine

Last week was the worst for Putin since he invaded Ukraine on February 24th, according to Thomas Friedman, New York Times.

However, there is a question that does not monopolize discussions, because it is difficult to give an answer, but it is essentially the developments: How can war end?

We still don't know, writes Friedman, who nevertheless highlights three possible scenarios about the end of the war:

Scene 1 : Ukraine's total victory, a victory under its shadow, however, a humiliated Putin can continue with a mad “ ” or madly destructive.

Scene 2 : Reaching agreement with Putin that will lead to a ceasefire will cause divisions among Western allies and anger many Ukrainians.

Scene 3 : Reaching a deal that both Ukrainians and Russians may agree with, but not Putin himself, who would have to be removed from power.

On the first scenario: No one expects the Ukrainian Army to continue its gradually successful counterattack. Forces seek to advance to eastern Ukraine.

However, for the first time some are now asking “what happens if the Russian army loses?”.

Putin himself, however, has warned that he could use even nuclear weapons if he loses even more on the military front. Thomas Friedman, in turn, hopes that the CIA has a secret plan that would undermine the Russian leadership of “click” the nuclear button in such a case.

Regarding the second scenario: Thomas Friedman cannot imagine Ukrainian President Wolfymyr Zelensky accepting a ceasefire under current conditions.

However, in the coming months things are expected to become more difficult, especially in Europe. Some European leaders will start wondering if negotiations can be achieved?

Putin could try to divide Europeans by claiming he himself is willing to negotiate a ceasefire agreement and restore Russian energy flows to Europe, but under conditions that Kiev will not like, reports abcnews.al.

In such a case, Zelensky would naturally have to provide security guarantees, perhaps even from NATO itself. In the same context, however, Ukraine will have lost more territories than the February 24th lines.

On the third scenario: NATO and Ukrainian can propose a ceasefire to the Russians, but based on the contact lines on February 24th. In such a case, Putin would hold “to” a portion of Donbas and Crimea, but would lose Marioupolis and all other countries that Russian forces have occupied in the last seven months.

In other words, in such a scenario, Russia would have to admit it waged a war, but it won nothing more than what “had” before February 24th.

Of course, there is no way Putin will publicly accept his defeat, as Friedman pointed out, in which, however, the Russian leader could, in theory, be overthrown either by the Russian people or by other Russian officials, taking full responsibility for the war.

On the other hand, of course, according to Thomas Friedman, there is also the possibility that Putin will either be replaced by someone worse or leave chaos and confusion in a country with thousands of nuclear heads, reports abcnews.al.

This war could end in different ways, Friedman concludes in his New York Times article. Some of these are better, and some are worse, but none will be easy. /abcnews/