The American Institute of Geology rules out almost entirely the possibilities of another devastating earthquake

According to the American Institute of Geology, earthquakes are divided into two categories, in those who have a strong first stroke and are followed by posthumously, which accounts for 94% of the cases. The second case, earthquakes in which the succession is stronger than the initial shock, in 6% of cases (almost always in the next three days).

The sequence of the September and November earthquake suggests that the Durres earthquake is of minority cases. What happened in September, which was originally interpreted as the main blow, may actually have been a parade compared to 6.4 richterin marked 2 months later.

However, the good news is that there is no third category of earthquakes, so no phenomenon is known after a powerful parade like that of September and the big blow like the November 26th, a devastating earthquake on the bow of days, weeks, or months later.

Put another way, in the case of earthquakes, there is either a major blow at first, accompanied by smaller setbacks or a paradition accompanied by a stronger setback, but never a triple escalation - 5.6 as September, 6.4 as November 26, and another stronger.

This is confirmed by the specialised page EMSC (Last quake), which at “Titter” has published this status today: “All our friends in Albania who have spent two very difficult nights, the number of post-improvys is on a continuous decline, and that is exactly what is expected after an earthquake”.

The November 26th earthquake is a unique phenomenon, which occurs on average in Albania once in about 25-30 years. The last major earthquake in the country had been in 1979, and after this disaster, it would take to logic just as long as the tectonic movements of Albanian soil produce a new magnitude blow around or over 6 riechter.

How long will the afternoon continue? According to the Omor Law table, which estimates the likelihood of post-circumsion in earthquake cases, in the following month, seismic areas in motion can produce 350 movements over 3 riechter, but only 38 with magnitude above 4 and, at the maximum rate, only 4 around M5.

Most of these shocks have already taken place, but the good news is that, in any case, the quakes will come to a much smaller and much smaller state of duration.

The earthquake in Italy in 2009 provides an answer to its own extreme similarities with Durres ' case regarding the afternoon.

Even L'Aquila had a seismic movement like that of September. Then, on April 6, 2009, a 6.3 magnitude earthquake destroyed over 500 buildings, leaving nearly 308 victims.

In the next two days, just as it happened in Albania, two blasts of magnitude 5.3 and 5.1 were recorded. In total, after April 6 it took place 23 after the magnitude of over 4 and under 5.

Based on these models, the worst in Durres appears to have passed. After the 5.3 of the day 27 and the 5.1 impact of today's day (remarked 4.9), the historical patterns and sequence of the earthquake's development are fundamentally ruled out.