Analysis of Freeegn Police: How to Resume War in the Balkans

We do not rule out territorial arrangements... We think they're supposed to solve it with each other” ) John Bolton, security adviser, August 2018, talking about the territorial exchange negotiations between Serbia and Kosovo.

When the history of the Balkans is written again, it will prove that these two statements will be the most consistent statements made by American officials. It was James Baker's statement that he then gave “to the green” Slobodan Milosevic uses the entire arsenal of the former Yugoslavia in the war with Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina. The result was a series of devastating and several-year-old wars in the region, most of them inevitable.

John Bolton's statement already threatens to undo two decades' efforts to find peace. Based on the voices of private meetings between the leaders of Serbia and Kosovo in exchange for territories, as a means to end the pending situation and take the stand on American politics, Bolton gave free access to Serbia and Kosovo to do business with their territory as a way to end their “status quo”.

To be correct with Bolton, the exchange of territories has an appealing logic. Serbia and Kosovo have been blocked by the latter's independence, with meetings for normalising relations undertaken by the European Union going nowhere. None of the two countries can advance to join the European Union without ending the situation, and each country has parts of its territory populated by other people, Serbs and Albanians, who would like to live among their own people. So, if both sides could agree to exchange territories as a way to unblock their situation, why would the US and the EU get in between?

The answer is that the logic of an agreement between Serbia and Kosovo should be realised (and the obstacles are more complex than realisation) cannot be satisfactory. The same appeal would immediately be made by unhappy people living in multiethnic countries in the region, with the desire to join the mother state, such as Serbs in Bosnia, Albanians in Macedonia and virtually every minority in the region would take the axe in hand to divide its territory.

Unfortunately, in the case of Bosnia there is no satisfactory way to divide the country without promoting a war. The Bosniaks' degree includes Srebrenica, exactly the Muslim majority country that brutally cleared “ ” during the war. At the same time, no Serbian leaders could take over this territory that is bordering Serbia and is already, after ethnic cleansing populated with Serbs.

Even if it is possible to reach a Bosnian-sharing agreement, the results are not interesting. Unlike any other ethnic group in the region, it is the religion that separates mostly Bosniaks from neighbours. strongly influenced by Turkey and other Middle Eastern countries, post-division Bosnia, may or cannot remain secular. It would be almost safe without going out to sea since Croats in this country would insist on following the example of partitioning Serbs.

Given the large percentage of recruits from the Islamic State in this region, it is certain that many would be willing to return. Bolton and other territorial exchange supporters should consider Kosovo's scenario rather than Bosnia's. The troubled and violent creation of an economically weak state in the heart of Europe, subject influenced by Islamic influence and described by abandonment and suffering would be its main characteristics.

The chain response of these events is completely reliable. Just discussing the exchange of territory with Bolton's calibre and other European officials is sufficient for Bosnian Serb leader Milorad Dodik, who has been talking about it for long, and who has taken initial steps towards secession. Currently, Dodik has cited Kosovo's independence in 2008 as the reason to give way to Bosnia's division. On the other hand, his clowns have inspired Croatian leaders to raise their voices over a third “entity”, another relic of the Bosnian mad war. The frustrations of Croats and Serbs can be real. The discussion of territorial solutions is above all and simply a preparation for a new war. In short, the tempting logic of the exchange of Kosovo territories will inevitably and logically transform into a war in Bosnia. ©Taken by Foreign Policy/ It adapted to LAPSI.al

It says: EDW ARD P. JOSEPH