Who can compete with elections and what they might bring

Signals giving the main political subjects in Kosovo do not warn a possible compromise to elect the country's president until April 28th.

This is the constitutional deadline for resolving this issue, otherwise the country would go to early parliamentary elections.

Who cares?

Observers of political developments consider that political subjects have not made serious efforts to resolve the dilemma of the political and institutional crisis.

The opposition s '%i accepted two names proposed for president by the ruling Vetevendosje Movement (LVV). The Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) and the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) also refused the post of chief parliamentary, provided by LVV, considering the offer of compromise unassuming.

Analyst Nundman Pazizi, professor of the Journalism Department at the University of Pristina, considers that, generally, the three parties are convening the elections.

According to him, LVV has shown readiness to go to the polls, as it failed to overcome clashes with Vjosa Osmani, now the country's former president, to propose it for a second term.

However, he considers Prime Minister Albin Kurti's party does not have the same favourable position as in last December 28th elections, when it won over 51 per cent of the vote.

“I think that the elections at least convene the Vetevendosje Movement, especially after the rift that this party has suffered in relation to former President Osmani”, says Pajarizi for Radio Free Europe (REL).

The LVV and political subject Guxo, founded by Osmani, competed together on an election list on three sides of the last elections.

For the other political connoisseur, Agon Maliqi, it is difficult to determine who the elections currently are convening. But, he also considers that, after sharing with Osman, the LVV cannot repeat the outcome of past elections.

Perhaps the opposition is in a better position. Its positions in the Assembly can be favoured more [after the eventary elections]”, Maliqi says of the REL.

What could change after the evental elections?

You consider that one thing is certain: The LVV would not be ready to change reports with political parties currently in opposition.

If elections were held in June, and if political parties now managed to build a consensus for co-governance, a change in the country's report of forces would be possible, he thinks.

Perhaps Mrs. Osmani will be able to remove a 5 percent. LVV's, part of what itself has sent to Vetevendosje Movement in the 2021 elections. However, this does not guarantee that there will be solutions”, says the paharazi.

He adds that, to reach a solution implying the election of all institutions, including the president, the LVV would have to fall under 40 MPs, while the current opposition becomes more powerful with numbers.

On the contrary, LVV would need about 70 deputies to find solutions as alone, Pajarizi says.

Both of these options, according to Pashariz, “in the current conditions are hard to imagine”.

Maliqi considers the LDK is aiming to reconsolidate before the evental elections. A return of Osman to this party remains unclear, though LDK leader Lumir Abdixhiku has left the door open for him.

“How translates Osman's exit [from partnership with Kurti] to lower the LVV percentage... we've seen it once. For example, in last February elections, when Osman was in exacerbated relations with Kurti, LVV was closer to 40 per cent of the”, Maliqi points out.

He recalls that in last year's elections, the votes of citizens living in diaspora favoured LVV.

These votes, according to him, would be slim, if the elections were held in June, when the diaspora presence in the country is lower.

How can the political and institutional crisis node be resolved?

Analysts do not believe that the mosaic of the rankings of subjects on the political scene would vary substantially.

For Paris, the only hope of a renewed institutional and constitutional blockade is for political parties to understand the report of forces between them, as well as the importance and necessity of co-operation between them.

There is no other path. Other roads are dangerous for Kosovo... Otherwise, endless electoral cycles of” await us, notes the paçariz.

Maliqi has the same opinion. According to him, early parliamentary elections could lead to sweeping change, only if the result was such that the LVV could not rule as alone.

“After much effort, [ LVV would be forced to reach some kind of compromise with at least one of the parties... It was seen that even with 51 percent, LVV needs a consensus, at least for the post of president”, Maliqi points out.

He adds that, if the LVV were to reject compromises even after the evental elections within weeks, “an opposition co-operation would be imposed by circumstances”, so that they can be united, take power and consolidate institutions.