Recent Studies: How will we get back to normal life and reproliferate COVID 19?

While the world is struggling with coronavirus, reports of what might happen after this first wave of infection passes are not very exciting. First, let us hope that it will pass as soon as possible. And after that, of course there will be a struggle for the recovery of economies in every country, and this will not be easy.

But the statements of some experts in the world, who believe that if we don't stop it properly, this pandemic wave can return for the second time, are disturbing.

But how can he return? Practically, it's enough to heal someone who doesn't know he's still infectious to others, and the battle is going back on.

According to a study published by the Institute “Mario Neri” The Bergamos, conducted in co-operation with the High Institute of Social Sciences in Paris by the end of April, the total number of working age people declared infected by the tampon test may be about 115,000, not confirming that this may be the moment of a partial reopening of social life.

The mathematical model used to reach these figures doesn't predict most of the positive cases, which for at least a month has been self-diagnosed, or it almost doesn't realize it's affected. So this doubles the figure, minimally.

Now we know a lot about the period of coronary incubation. But what will decide the fate of our new start with a life without restrictions and act as an obstacle to a reexploration of the epidemic, will be the management of the period during which the sufferer spreads the virus into the environment and must respect quarantine. There are few studies on this point.

According to studies, seriously ill patients spread the virus for 20 days on average, but for some, this period may last up to 37 days. For patients ill, the average duration of the virus's spread is 10 days, but for some it lasts up to two weeks. There are only recommendations for a healed patient's hypothetical card.

Experts suggest that in cases of hospital patients, before they get out of there, the test should be done with tampons to ensure that it is no longer affected by the Coronavirus. Every sick person should have two tampons with negative answers made in a day difference. It won't be easy. The number of patients with slight symptoms of Covid-19 who have not been admitted to the hospital because of their overload amounts to 80 percent of the cases.

Hospitals are overloaded with patients with the most serious level of infection. To make the situation even more complicated, preliminary assessments suggest that asimtomatic infectiousrs can reach 18-30 percent of the entire population.

The spread of the virus can continue even after fever disappears and the worst symptoms. The actual lack of tampons does not make it possible to test all people with symptoms of not breathing or high fever. For those who simply stay at home, it becomes essential to know that they cannot consider themselves replaced by “ "ex1" without diagnostic evidence repeated several times, and that the spread of the virus can continue even after the loss of fevers and more serious symptoms.

According to researchers, this information should not further fuel fear in people, but must serve to develop a rational approach to combat the epidemic at an individual and collective level. /Panorama.al/