Shocking details: I Is the SIS ending or is it transforming?

But, the organisation preserves the potential to be led into new strategies with thousands of militants left behind by the tens of thousands it has had, writes Anadolu Agency (AA).

DEATH, a terrorist organization that culminated in two thirds of Syrian territory in late 2014, has been rapidly losing its territory since 2015 until now.

Following the siege of Ayn el-Arab (Coban), losing conflicts in the line of Aleppo and north of Rakka The PKK-PYD, which received the support of the US and the international coalition, The DEA withdrew from these regions. Thus, by the end of 2016, the organization was trapped in a archbow from the north of Aleppo to the south of Rakkas.

The organisation, which even in front of Russia and the regime, lost numerous territories in Halep and Homs, withdrew to the Dejrizor region, while also in central Rakkas was surrounded by terrorist PKK/ US-backed pyYD.

Problems in human resources and the deadlock of policies for foreign fighters who formed the UN presence in Syria have also left the terrorist organisation's attempts to regain military-losing territories.

The organisation's spokesman, Abumah Adnani, who was killed in 2016 in an attack that started from the north of Rakkas from the United States and the international coalition in co-operation with the PKK/PYD, nearly two years earlier had declared they would already be dragged into the desert.

These losses of the organisation were the first indicators of their national projections and claims, which could not concreteize.

The environment for siege in the Homs Desert

Today, however, we note that the DEA is moving rapidly east of Syria, as Abu Muhammad Adnan had expressed. The organisation blocked in the northeastern villages of Dejrizor in the vicinity of the border with Iraq is holding control in the same way as the border line extending from south Al Hul to Hasek to its territories in Dejrizor, as well as until Enbar and the Enbar Desert in western Iraq.

In addition to this region, the organisation is trying to protect its presence in the Homs Desert by withdrawing in the months that have passed by Palmyra to the east of Homs. However, by taking over the Ebu Kemal region in the vicinity of the Iraqi town of Majad and the border, the narrowness of the Assad regime, and the terror groups supported by Iran in the Euphrates Valley in Russia's air-supported Dyrizor, strengthen the signs that the DEA will be surrounded in the desert of Homs.

Cellules, Operations, and instant operations

Of course, it is also possible for the organisation to choose to withdraw if it is surrounded here, because we are dealing with an organisation that can conduct combat operations with cells that organise in the regions that have previously been lost on the front. In the near future, we understand that the organisation, which can collect secret cells, such as the example of Kajeteyn, in a quick military operation, can use lost territory in the front fight as a motivation for another action.

In addition to all these large areas, two areas under the control of the DEA in Syria are important, which are settlements like Jevlan, Advan and Tasil on the border with Golan under Israeli invasion, located west of the Jermuk regions and the Door, where Palestinian refugees previously lived intensively.

Militants of the organisation who continue the presence for a long time despite being far from the main line and are under siege, with strategy to be present in Jermuk, attack the opposition by making periodic agreements with the Assad regime that has strong air and logistics forces.

Meanwhile, at the door, the organisation's basic strategy, which in the West has Israel's army, was to reach the land route that lies on the door through the Neva areas and Gisr es-Asri. It is still unanswered questions about how the organisation that fights with the opposition provides military logistics with this purpose.

As the organisation's visible territories decrease, there is a great opportunity for it to take action in opposition and regime territories within Syria, with sleepy cells behind the front.

This UN movement, which has launched an attack on opposition territories located south of Aleppo and eastern Hamas regions under the control of Assad's regime in the northeast suburb of Hama, clearly shows that the UN is open to any co-operation for the organisation to survive.

Is the DEA going down?

At International Coalition Meetings Against UNAS and mostly US and European countries, the emphasis has been placed on the strategy of destroying members of the organisation in their countries.

The West and Russia see Syria in particular as an international <x0-plug, where it will destroy radical elements that have blocked”.

Indeed, the West and Russia for many years have allowed these elements to flow to Syria and Iraq, leaving their territories. And now they want to eliminate them, without allowing their return.

On the other hand, in spite of the news about the <x0.0milants of the UN” and the “severe conflicts” proclaimed in the world by the occupied territories in which there are thousands of foreign fighters, turns away from the attention of not sharing any information about arrests or deaths.

This situation cannot inform about the situation of what is currently happening to thousands of foreign fighters who were mentioned mainly by the US and Russia.

When agreements and compromise initiatives in the past are thought as reflections to survive and flexibility in the military sense of the UN, it is noted that these show that the organisation has the potential to move into a new strategy.

Meanwhile, the UN-PKK agreement should be assessed in this context. PYD for evacuation in Rakka, which AA reported on October 15th, while the BBC offered as news yesterday with several witnesses.

Most likely scenario

The most likely scenario to be discussed from the organisation's point of view is that foreigners originally from the Gulf and the Arabic - speaking Magib can change into cells behind the front, becoming residents with a Syrian identity, or with refugee identity move to other countries. Meanwhile, for foreign warriors who do not speak Arabic, the situation is quite different.

The picture we face during the Rakas siege, from this point of view, showed the organisation's scenario for foreign fighters. The organisation, which by one agreement withdrew from Rakka with elements of Arabic and local origin, left behind elements that were not Arabic, except those in the position of commander and commander.

This preference supports the view that the purpose of DEA in the new era is a possible Arab country.

Also, local terrorist organisations and terrorist regimes that are local partners and allegedly controlled by the US and Russia allow for evacuation from the UN foreign fighters' regions for which dozens of data have been published.
In this way we will wait to see if the organization's preference will be transformed into a forgotten maniovela for future use in a geographic position.

When we unite the organisation's divisive stance within it (Arab / Arabic-speaking, elite/unwar fighters), agreed-on evacuations adopted by the US and Russia, it is possible to say that possible scenarios include in the danger group Arab countries in southern Syria and Iraq.

How many members of the UN in Iraq and Syria, where internal and border security has not ended, are still unknown, operating behind the front of the war on identity as Arabs, and how far they have crossed borders using refugee status (Esilant).
The analysis of the current parameters places two Arab countries, Jordan and Saudi Arabia in the front ranks of the risk group.

Is the DEA losing or changing?

DEAS today has largely lost the line formed east of Aleppo and the eastern parts of Homs, Rakka, Dejrizor south of Hasek, which was under control in Syria.

All at once taking control of territories stretching from Mosul and Ramadi to Halep, as well as losing in three years that have caused demographic, ethnic and political changes has left the region in the face of many problems.

The easiest, the most widespread of these problems, however, is the location of members of the UN, which are said to be at least thousands of foreign fighters.
The claims that major centres such as Rakka, Dejrizor, Majad and Bukemal, which the organisation has lost and that these centres have used as foreign fighters' warehouses, will show us that they are responsible for reviewing many parameters if the DEA is trapped in desert suburbs or holding a very different battle strategy behind the front.

The assessment of lost territories as a loss for the organisation, which has language fighters and different origins, is a sociologically unacceptable situation in the organization.

On the other hand, it should be considered that the continuation of language and rhetoric continues on in public publications that address the mass of sympathies and within the organization itself.