Plas bomb The Economist: This is the true number of Albanians who died of pandemic

British President “The Economist” has made a very detailed report on the actual number of deaths caused by the pandemic, contrary to how reported by responsible institutions.

After processing data from 186 countries around the world, including Albania, the “The Economist” has concluded that the actual number of victims from pandemic across the globe is not 5.5 million, but about 19.1 million. This figure is nearly four times higher than what countries have officially reported.

The declared and real deaths from the pandemic in Albania according to the graph prepared by the “The Economist”

This figure is not only those who died directly from coronary but also patients with other diseases who have not been able to take appropriate treatment or service because of the filling of hospitals or resource orientation, mainly in terms of coping with pandemic, reports Abcnews.al.

To reach this indicator, “Th Economist” has used a computer model that has compared mortality to normal population conditions in a region and time assigned to the number of dead declared by authorities regardless of their cause.

The output “te for” in this report is what “The Economist” considers death “without any other cause”, also given that there has been a disaster in the region in question, thereby connecting it directly to pandemic.

In terms of Albania, referring to the above methodology, the “The Economist” estimates that the actual number of the dead because of the pandemic ranges between 12,000 and 15 thousand people, while the official figure declared to be dead by the Coronavirus is 3 247.

How many people have lost their lives because of David-19? The answer depends on both available data and cause. Many people who have lost their lives because of SARS-CoV-2 have never been tested and are thus not part of official data.

Conversely, some people whose deaths were attributed to Covid-19 had other diseases from which they could have died. Some of them even died for the fact that hospitals were crowded with patients with Covid-19, and they could not get proper treatment.

Instead of trying to distinguish between the causes of death, The Economist's approach is to know the right numbers. The standard method of tracking changes to total mortality is “deaths that are not recorded”.

This number is the gap between the number of people who died in a certain region over a certain period of time, regardless of the cause, and how many victims we would have had happened under other circumstances, abcnews reports. al

Although the official death toll caused by Covid-19 is now 5.5 million, it is thought that the death toll is 19.1 million. This is because counting additional deaths for the whole world is complex and inaccurate.

Including statistics published by subnational entities such as provinces or cities, among 156 world nations with at least 1 million people, The Economist collected the total mortality data from only 84 of them.

Some of these countries regularly update their data; others have only published it once. To complete these gaps, The Economist has built a sign that values the number of additional victims for each country every day since the beginning of the pandemic. It is based on both official records of excessive mortality and more than 100 other statistical indicators.

On the above graph, you can evaluate the figures either for the world as a whole or as divided by the region. The less available data in a certain location, the less secure we are than the additional victims registered in that country. Total numbers are also available below, in the table format.

The above regional estimates are data collections for specific locations. Differences between countries on the scale and frequency of testing for SARS-CoV-2 which, along with the severity of the pandemic, determine the official number of victims from Ovid-19.

Data for additional victims is essential to making comparisons among different countries. The above graph compares additional deaths over time to the countries surveyed. The Economist provides additional death records every day since the beginning of the pandemic. This makes it even clearer than David-19 has caused more casualties than reported.

Many of the most affected countries in the world are in Latin America. Although Russia's official death report suggests that the country has succeeded in fighting pandemic, but according to The Economist's data, Russia is one of the most affected countries.

The same is true of India, where it is believed that the official number is in the millions, reports abcnews. al

Although the statistics of additional victims are the most comprehensive measure of the human cost of Covid-19, they are related only to the number of people who are infected with SARS-CoV-2.

Because the virus is far more deadly for the elderly than for young people, the number of deaths is greatly affected by the structure of one country's population age. As a result, additional victims' data can only be used as a good indication of the spread of Covid-19 if the demographic is calculated.

The above two signs indicate some of the implications of this phenomenon. The first shows additional deaths as a percentage of each country's population with persons over 65. The second describes an assessment of the percentage of people in any country that have been infected.

To calculate it, additional deaths of a country have been shared with a higher risk of infection and mortality. This assessment neither estimates the difference between specific demographic groups nor the differences in prevaluation of basic medical conditions that increase the risk of it against Covid-19.

Because medicine is less developed in poor countries, the number of victims is higher in these countries. In some countries, this presents an assessment of the total cases that exceed the population of a country a scenario that is theoretically possible, as reinfectations occur.

This approach also does not include data on vaccines, which have significantly reduced the rate of infection and mortality in 2021 in many countries. And it lacks information about the prevalence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants like Alpha and Delta, which can have a different level of virulence from the original kind. Despite all these warnings, this approach offers a starting point to assess how many people have been infected by the virus, reports abcnews. al

* There are two main ways that numbers about excessive deaths can misinterpret reality. 

First is that they rely on the assumption that officially published mortality figures are correct. In view of the problems that Coddy-19 has caused, some governments may have changed the way they compile the data for the number of victims during the pandemic.

This can make us publish figures that are not correct for the locations in question. Of course, there may also be mistakes in the appreciation of each country.

Second, because most countries reporting the additional number of victims are wealthy or medium-income. So these models point out that data in poor countries may not be accurate.

A similar warning applies to countries that may have registered more victims than have been reported for other reasons than pandemic, such as war or natural disasters./abcnews. al