A shocking prediction of the Coronervirus we hope to miss out

It has written the book “The Deadliest Enemy” that was published in 2017. In part with “SARS and MERCS, a premonition of those to come” has a chapter of what a flu pandemic would be like if it appeared in China. If you read it, that's exactly what's happening to Ovidius.

Trade chains broke down, China closed; the virus spread to other countries; then they all began to point to each other's finger of guilt.

“It's the kind of things that, although we hear and hear, we don't prepare” -- he says in this interview translated by DIATA, given to journalist Joe Rogan.

Below parts of the interview published by DIA. Hopefully his gloomy predictions do not arise:

Journalist: What do you do, Michael?

Osterholm: Thank you for the absence of a better term, I'm a certain medical detective, I've spent my entire career following infectious diseases, trying to stop them, trying to figure out where they come from, so we can make sure that they don't happen first, but if they happen, we're willing to respond.

How serious is this present with Coddy 19? Is it something we should be terrified of, or is it swollen? What is your position on this?

First of all, you need to understand its time (of action) in the sense that it has just begun. From the point of view of pain, suffering, death is indeed the beginning. This will unfold full of months to come and that's what, in my opinion, people still don't understand.

Now we have data that proves that you're infectious even before you get sick; in some cases, highly infectious: just breathe about it. I understand why people say good “wait a minute, the flu itself kills a lot more every year than this”. But once again, I remind people that this is just the beginning. The best forecast we have now, given this limited data we have, is that this could be at least 10 to 15 times worse than the worst year of seasonal flu.

10 to 15 times worse for victims?

Yes! But the disease itself. I have some figures like initial projections; this could result in 48 million hospital stays, 96 million actual cases, causing over 480 thousand deaths in the next three to seven months. So this is not something to take lightly.

I understand if you say now that there were only 10 deaths or 20 deaths or 50 deaths. Just remember, two weeks ago we had almost no case in the United States, and now that we're testing for it and watching the spread as it unfolds, the numbers are growing astronomically. Three weeks ago, Italy was living its life well. Now they are, in fact, almost closed.

It was an email that came out yesterday from one of their doctors in Milan, at the largest hospital there. He announced a disturbing message from a cardiologist; they're at the point of deciding who to let die. They're not controlling the staff anymore, they need all of them engaged 24 hours, and very small hospital areas are still operating for patients not COVID-19. Everyone else is devoted to patients with COVID.

He says they have seen an alarming number of cases even at the 40-year interval and something. So we have to stop thinking that this is just a disease of people of age, or that this is not something that will spread only to Owan or Milan. It's spreading here in Seattle. It will continue to spread and spread throughout the world.

You mentioned that there is a certain period of incubation before people get sick. The period during which they are still infectious. What is this period of incubation, and what do we know about it?

What we call an incubation period starts from when you or I are exposed, so to speak, from the time you're in a room with someone who was infected until you get sick. This is called an Incubation period. We have evidence that people who were exposed only once, I'm talking about one time, next to an infected person, they get sick after that. If the driver you traveled to is an individual who is sick even though he does not show symptoms, then, from four days later, all who were there begin to get sick. One more time. For once.

Even if the driver doesn't show any symptoms? Is he still an infectious person?

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He can still be infectious. And this is one of the challenging things about this disease. You and I can get infected by someone who's totally apographically, so I don't show symptoms of this virus. It's not a very strong virus for him, but for us, when it infects us it can kill us. So we have seen cases of disease that have resulted fatally after they were infected by people who themselves had very few symptoms.

Wow.!

That's what's coming up and that's why I think we're dealing with a big problem. That's why I told you time is so important. This won't be resolved soon. I'm worried. I keep saying that people are dealing with this as a “exchange corona”. They think it's two or three days and we're going back to normal. This is a winter corona-virus and we'll have it for the next three months or more, or six months or more. So far this has been spreading just as we predicted.

We and our center published an article on January 20th and said it would spread worldwide so use the time coming! People said no! It's not just China. What's happening is what's called “number R” is doubling every four days. That's what we're seeing happening in countries like Italy. People relax with that belief about low “mortality”, but it's not that low anymore. This is what we have to prepare people for.

Now, what can be done? What works on ordinary people? We see people walking in masks on gloves, is that pointless?

Mostly yes! In Germany they have studied a group of people who were infected by someone at the automotive manufacturing plant. Nine people. They were told that if you have any symptoms, you contact us because we want to follow you in detail and that's how the agreement agreed. When they reported that they were feeling bad with throat pains, they were taken away by champions, they had blood tests, shit, urine, and it was found that at the moment they thought they were sick for the first time, they had extremely high levels of the virus; that means they had been infectious since before. They had not yet had symptoms of any nature.

That's what's bothering us, because that shows the scale and kind of spread. I always said trying to stop the spread of a flu is like trying to stop the wind. You know we've never succeeded in the flu, except with the vaccine. We don't have a vaccine for this case. People are already getting infected. We won't have a vaccine soon. To say otherwise is uncaused optimism.

Restriction of contact really helps?

Yeah, 'cause it's like doing magnet tape experimenting. If you don't have such close contact, you can't broadcast so much. If I'm sitting in a room with a hundred people and we're kind of sharing air together, transmission is extraordinary. It's right here on the California coast that you have a cruise ship; crores are notorious for rescinding the air. Inside the inner cabins there were a number of explosions, Coved 19. And then we leave them there. I think the most vicious human experiment we've done in a long time is leave them on these ships. Get them out now!

Looks like we're not really prepared for something like this even though the CDC told us for a long time that we should be...

You know we're not prepared at all. This is, hopefully, a call to wake up especially the business community, I hope, will wake up. We have identified a hundred and fifty-three drugs in this country, for which people need immediate or die. I mean, crisis protocol medication, critical drugs. All of them are essentially produced outside the United States, and much of them are produced in China and India. These chains are down.

Just think for a second. US Department of Defense. B.A. no more access to these drugs and no one else; they're dependent on China for these drugs. Six hundred and ninety thousand Americans have renal diseases at the last stage at this moment; most of their primary drugs come from China and now with the closure what's going on with this? It's not just about what the virus is doing; it's about what the whole system is structured and what this virus does after it enters.

Jesus, you're making me nervous...

We're talking about what we can do to keep people from getting nervous... So what we need to do is not come to this point.

It's too late...

No no no what I mean is we're coming to this point. My job is not to scare you, or ruin your peace.

Transferred with cutbacks in Albanian by Edona Luracaj, Day