Fear of Serbia: Kosovo next year at the UN, then in NATO, fast even charges of genocide

The DPA quotes from Blic article: Many medieval Serb monasteries and battlefields exist in Kosovo, so Belgrade so far wanted this region back. In northern Kosovo, a compact Serb minority lives. According to previous ideas about partitioning Kosovo's north could join Serbia. But in such a case, the Albanian side issues about 100,000 Albanians in southern Serbia, who can join Kosovo. Serbian historical manuals in Kosovo on W list NESTO as the legacy of world culture, in the event of division a special autonomy status can be granted, Dacic has proposed again.

A week ago in an authorial text for the newspaper “Blic”, Vucinq wrote that an internal dialogue for Kosovo should be launched in Serbia and that Serbia must be realistic in terms of developments in Kosovo, rather than putting its head on as the ostrich. Vuciq thinks that “Kosovo is essentially our most serious problem, so it is necessary, as never before, that we all find an answer together. A response that will be sustainable, excluding conflict as an option, a response that would bring benefits to everyone in the region”.

Dusan Janjic, co-ordinator of the Forum for Ethnic Reports, tells DW that he is not optimistic that this dialogue will result successfully.

“Vuciqi does not actually have a clear idea of what it will talk about. But in advance he has called all who oppose this dialogue a failure. A text and such a tone, as well as its arrogance, are not a good start and create resistance to this” dialogue, he says.

Janiq thinks these texts present some kind of manipulation with dialogue, according to motto “I have asked you, you are silenced and you are not responding. That's why I've decided myself, and the responsibilities will divide the entire”.

“Situata in the Balkans is changing at speed”, says of DW, Dusan Prorokovic from the Centre for Strategic Alternatives.

Montenegro has entered NATO, while Macedonia has renewed membership efforts.

“In this context I also see the latest initiative to resolve the Kosovo issue. Now you want to speed up the process and get as fast a conclusion of the process as well as the introduction of Kosovo into the United Nations possibly next year”, he thinks.

Prorokovic claims that this internal dialogue aims at legitimising the entire process: “We will develop a supposed dialogue which will ultimately result in recognition of reality, meaning that Kosovo will become a member of the UN without formal recognition from Serbia. This is the model of two Germanys, which has been talking about since 2008 and meaning the agreement between Belgrade and Pristina, which should have reports like formerly East Berlin and Bonn. ”

Dusan Prorokovic says that in the opinion this will be presented as a medium solution: “We have not recognised Pristina, we will not establish diplomatic reports, but Kosovo will legitimise member status in the UN, because that is reality. I think things are going this way. It will not permanently resolve the Kosovo issue, because Serbia will face very serious problems”.

Kosovo's “UN membership would damage Serbia's position on the long-term trails. After that, the quick membership of Kosovo in NATO could be expected, meaning it would change Serbia's position, which would probably also force itself to become a NATO member”, Prorokovic claims. “I think that the Kosovo indictment against Serbia for genocide can then be expected very quickly and too soon for major problems about the demarcation of the border, which Serbia would put into very big and trying problems. So I think the dogma that Kosovo's recognition will solve problems is very dangerous and wrong”, he claims.