CNN/ Trump poll and Harris “k to head”

Vice President Kamala Harris has an advantage over former President Donald Trump between eligible voters in Wisconsin and Michigan, while Trump takes advantage of Arizona.

In each of them, on average 15% of eligible voters say they have not yet decided for whom they will vote, suggesting that a considerable part of voters can change their views on the race.

Voters in Wisconsin voted 50% for Harris at 44% for Trump, and in Michigan, 48% for Harris and 43% Trump. In Arizona, Trump received 49% of Harris' 44%. In Georgia and Nevada, 48% support Harris and 47% Trump, and in Pennsylvania, candidates are equal to 47%.

Polls were conducted after the National Democratic Convention in August.

The findings suggest a landscape of the Electoral College where Pennsylvania and Georgia are the hottest states. President Joe Biden won in these six states in 2020, winning Georgia by a little short of 12,000 votes and in Arizona by a little over 10,000 votes.

If Harris won like Biden in 2020 and also in Wisconsin and Michigan, a victory in Pennsylvania plus an election vote from anywhere else would give her the presidency.

If Trump wins North Carolina, a state he won in 2020, victory in the victories in Georgia and Pennsylvania would be placed at the head of the White House, no matter what happens in Wisconsin, Michigan or Nevada.

In that scenario, even Arizona, where he currently holds a narrow advantage, would not need Trump to win another term as president.

Economic issues remain the most frequently chosen topic by voters when asked what matters for their election to president; on average, 39% of eligible voters choose the economy as their main issue, with the protection of democracy following an average of 25%.

Trump is more trusted than Harris in the economy with 8% average. Trump maintains a broad advantage as more reliable for immigration management, while Harris is more manageable for abortion and reproductive rights, with women in these six countries preferring him to an average of 27 % on this issue.

Views and policies as ordinary and Trump as too extreme. About half in every state (between 46% and 51%) say Trump's views and policies are as extreme as they pose a threat to the country, while about 4 out of 10 (between 37% and 42%) say the same for Harris.

Colored voters are a key point in Georgia and Pennsylvania, especially in Georgia, and according to these polls, Harris has 85% among the coloured voters in Georgia and 84% in Pennsylvania.

In both states, however, registered black voters express less motivation to vote in this year's elections than white voters. In Georgi 61% of registered voters say they are extremely motivated to vote compared to 70% among white voters, and in Pennsylvania, only 56% of black voters say they are deeply motivated to vote compared to 72% of white voters.

Harris has the majority of voters younger than 35 in the two states, leading 59% to 36% in Pennsylvania and 54% to 41% in Georgia. Possible white voters without college diplomas in both states are pro Trump, especially in Georgia, where about 7 out of 10 supports it.

Possible white voters who have four-year college diplomas, however, are divided into opposite directions in both states. In Pennsylvania, they widely favour Harris, 59% by 37%, while in Georgia they support Trump, 65% by 32%.

This dynamic is similar to the first split in the 2020 polls.