Five possible scenarios after Kurti's “rebeling”

Kurti, Lajcak, the EU and the US are in an awkward situation that has been created about dialogue (at ease from the EU and supported by the US). Prime Minister Kurti publicly went against mediator Lajcak, even though he has had coffee and wine with him in Greece and several other countries so far. He's known him since [...]
Kurti, Lajcak, the EU and the US are in an awkward situation that has been created about dialogue (at ease from the EU and supported by the US). Prime Minister Kurti publicly went against mediator Lajcak, even though he has had coffee and wine with him in Greece and several other countries so far. He's known him for how long, but now he decided to sacrifice him probably to avoid the responsibility and acceptance he'd made of the Association in Ohrid. He's a crisis master. That saying survives from one crisis to another. But what can happen now, what can be “sceriot” possible?
- Dialogue is foretold, does not apply to association. One side does not trust the mediator, I cannot continue the dialogue. In fact Kurt knew Lajcak well, but he sacrificed it so I wouldn't apply the Association. He's reached the crash, but only temporarily. Dialogue is blocked that the EU will not change Lajcak for Kurti's hat.
- Serbia exploits the case and implements unilateral association on the ground. This is a possible scenario, because Vuciq means “Kurti doesn't want dialogue or agreement. We've been praying long enough, I've destroyed the” dialogue. “We don't have a choice but to apply it itself”. That's how Belgrade can act. Even on the ground, they can activate parallel structures and create a new reality. Flowing with friends may even be left alone in the building, but Serbia's parallel structures through the Serbian List can create municipalities of '%vetá and proclaim the Serbian autonomy. Dialogue has been a mechanism that has controlled Serbia and broken down and integrated local Serbs into institutions of the Republic of Kosovo. Now this great and deep progress has been destroyed. Neither do we have local Serbs in institutions, nor do we have dialogue. A good situation for Belgrade to use.
- Early elections in Kosovo. This could be a scenario and another reason behind Kurt's motive. He didn't want to implement the Association and go to the election. It expands the government with a partner who eventually takes the wheel of dialogue. In this scenario, association applies but not to Kurt alone, he does not bear the whole responsibility. In the most extreme situation, Kurti cannot make a coalition with any party and with any trick secretue remains outside the government.
- Violence turns north. When there is no dialogue, violence can follow. Now Belgrade can again rebelize local Serb groups that control them. They could turn back on the violence scenes and get tough. This could be the entrance to scenarion 2.
- Kurt. It may be that some have grown tired of Kurt's uncertainty. They've tried everything and you're not walking already. Under these circumstances the United States and the EU agree that Kurti is not a partner of the West and is breaking off relations with him. So far there have been measures and sanctions as remarks but have not yielded results. Maybe the direct measure can be part of the game already. Deep isolation. This situation also leads to early elections.
The best solution for Kosovo that could have been that Kurt did not take all of my responsibility, that he is seeing to be unable to accept and bear the outcome that time and circumstances require. It could either include the opposition, the president and the chief governor or create a team with LDK and PDK leaders for dialogue and high decision-making. This had saved Kosovo from the very poor international situation it is. The next case is after early elections when the government expands and more partners are introduced to decision-making. However, the only unstable situation is this moment and current. This situation in my knowledge cannot last like this.












